Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.450304 0.516765 0.588981 0.673191 0.768602 0.873259 0.996666
2025-02-16 0.323986 0.407858 0.506974 0.632397 0.786508 0.969300 1.202142
2025-02-23 0.243479 0.334182 0.450055 0.608125 0.817221 1.083311 1.446433
2025-03-02 0.188384 0.280443 0.406927 0.591901 0.853707 1.208866 1.724576
2025-03-09 0.152574 0.244993 0.380826 0.592582 0.911334 1.369436 2.072691
2025-03-16 0.122512 0.211391 0.350611 0.581050 0.948373 1.505160 2.404650
2025-03-23 0.103785 0.191395 0.336907 0.591310 1.018442 1.697681 2.846247
2025-03-30 0.085609 0.168372 0.313808 0.581742 1.054328 1.840619 3.228396
2025-04-06 0.073762 0.154027 0.302636 0.589924 1.120007 2.038964 3.724939
2025-04-13 0.061024 0.135233 0.279897 0.573100 1.138415 2.158306 4.100748
2025-04-20 0.054582 0.127630 0.276786 0.592149 1.224426 2.406049 4.731838
2025-04-27 0.049507 0.121818 0.276086 0.615491 1.321321 2.684424 5.450621
2025-05-04 0.043235 0.112168 0.266042 0.618708 1.380068 2.900379 6.082647
2025-05-11 0.037545 0.102634 0.254547 0.616935 1.428305 3.101811 6.711073
2025-05-18 0.032837 0.094454 0.244612 0.616908 1.480122 3.316524 7.391489
2025-05-25 0.028777 0.087009 0.235022 0.616015 1.529737 3.532329 8.099019
2025-06-01 0.025906 0.082115 0.230769 0.627097 1.608039 3.818292 8.987632
2025-06-08 0.022657 0.075374 0.220551 0.621675 1.646647 4.021391 9.718278
2025-06-15 0.020707 0.072014 0.218634 0.637121 1.737809 4.352982 10.771716
2025-06-22 0.018150 0.066146 0.208735 0.629779 1.771007 4.554229 11.548867
2025-06-29 0.016526 0.062890 0.205649 0.640533 1.852116 4.877995 12.647459
2025-07-06 0.014277 0.056940 0.193479 0.623594 1.857692 5.019014 13.323896
2025-07-13 0.013343 0.055388 0.194437 0.645046 1.970418 5.438674 14.725943